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Reply #60 posted 05/07/06 4:24pm

VoicesCarry

Byron said:

VoicesCarry said:



Actually, it is. Because BMH2 had a washed-up star, absolutely terrible reviews, and a dumping-ground release date, and still managed this. Of course it wound up with a much lower gross than the original, but that is how sequels are supposed to perform. Big opening, smaller overall gross.

How much did BM1 make it's opening weekend? How much did BM2 make? Which weekend did BM1 open on? Which weekend did BM2 open on? What movies did Martin Lawrence star in just prior to BM1? What movies did Martin Lawrence star in just prior to BM2? And on and on, etc, etc...too many variables which play a roll in how a movie like Big Momma does in comparison to how well it did last time...


It's very simple to analyze. BMH was ML's first massive hit; unfortunately, he didn't really follow up on it.. He's gone from bomb to bomb:

Black Knight
National Security
What's The Worst That Could Happen
and finally Rebound, which was a complete catastrophe for him

The only exception being Bad Boys II, which was a sequel.

BMH did $25M on a June weekend.

BMH2 did $27M in January, becoming one of the top-openers ever in January.
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Reply #61 posted 05/07/06 4:26pm

VoicesCarry

Byron said:

VoicesCarry said:



Actually, it does!

Here's what one analyst had to say:

While opening a Mission: Impossible film with 4,054 venues may seem like a good idea on paper, it is actually quite the opposite. With this opening, some theaters on the continent may have been 25% full at best. Paramount will have trouble maintaining an audience next weekend as its total availability and its awareness meant that anybody who wanted to see it this weekend could have.

So then if MI3 had opened in, say, 80 less theatres it wouldn't be the fifth largest opening ever, because Ice Age would have surpassed it...and I guarantee you that at least five more films will open on an even larger scale this summer, dropping MI3's ranking out of the top 10...that's basically what I meant by it doesn't really matter anymore...


Oh, you're quibbling with the ranking. Doesn't matter. It's still massive by any standards. And it is the second-highest live action opener ever. Animated films on average get higher venue counts since family films have better legs and exhibitors are more comfortable with keeping them around week after week after week. Ice Age 2 should have, but didn't, and there you go.
[Edited 5/7/06 16:27pm]
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Reply #62 posted 05/07/06 4:29pm

Byron

VoicesCarry said:

Byron said:


How much did BM1 make it's opening weekend? How much did BM2 make? Which weekend did BM1 open on? Which weekend did BM2 open on? What movies did Martin Lawrence star in just prior to BM1? What movies did Martin Lawrence star in just prior to BM2? And on and on, etc, etc...too many variables which play a roll in how a movie like Big Momma does in comparison to how well it did last time...


It's very simple to analyze. BMH was ML's first massive hit; unfortunately, he didn't really follow up on it.. He's gone from bomb to bomb:

Black Knight
National Security
What's The Worst That Could Happen
and finally Rebound, which was a complete catastrophe for him

The only exception being Bad Boys II, which was a sequel.

BMH did $25M on a June weekend.

BMH2 did $27M in January, becoming one of the top-openers ever in January.

So I take it that inflation isn't factored into the opening of BM1 when comparing it to the opening of BM2?..lol wink...And by the way, BM2's competition its opening weekend was Annapolis, Nanny McPhee and Rang De Basanti. Not exactly anything opening opposite of it to draw moviegoers away like it is during the "summer" movie season...
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Reply #63 posted 05/07/06 4:35pm

Byron

VoicesCarry said:

Byron said:


So then if MI3 had opened in, say, 80 less theatres it wouldn't be the fifth largest opening ever, because Ice Age would have surpassed it...and I guarantee you that at least five more films will open on an even larger scale this summer, dropping MI3's ranking out of the top 10...that's basically what I meant by it doesn't really matter anymore...


Oh, you're quibbling with the ranking. Doesn't matter. It's still massive by any standards. And it is the second-highest live action opener ever. Animated films on average get higher venue counts since family films have better legs and exhibitors are more comfortable with keeping them around week after week after week. Ice Age 2 should have, but didn't, and there you go.
[Edited 5/7/06 16:27pm]

Of course ranking matters...I mean, how damning does it sound to say "MI3 opened on the 17th largest number of screens ever, and it still under-performed!"??..lol.. smile It could have opened on the same amount of screens, but if opening on that many screens isn't an unusual occurance anymore, then that aspect loses some of its potency.

It sounds like you have immediate access to some of these stats, so I'm curious as to how many screens War of the Worlds opened on (not for the sake of debate, just my own selfish curiosity..lol smile )
[Edited 5/7/06 16:36pm]
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Reply #64 posted 05/07/06 4:35pm

VoicesCarry

Byron said:

VoicesCarry said:



It's very simple to analyze. BMH was ML's first massive hit; unfortunately, he didn't really follow up on it.. He's gone from bomb to bomb:

Black Knight
National Security
What's The Worst That Could Happen
and finally Rebound, which was a complete catastrophe for him

The only exception being Bad Boys II, which was a sequel.

BMH did $25M on a June weekend.

BMH2 did $27M in January, becoming one of the top-openers ever in January.

So I take it that inflation isn't factored into the opening of BM1 when comparing it to the opening of BM2?..lol wink...And by the way, BM2's competition its opening weekend was Annapolis, Nanny McPhee and Rang De Basanti. Not exactly anything opening opposite of it to draw moviegoers away like it is during the "summer" movie season...


Inflation-adjusted figures come out very similar (just checked and BMH2 actually did $27.7 M). When you factor in its release date, it improved. Sure there's less competition in January, but there is also less interest in films released during that period. Becoming the third best opening ever in a month is performing above expectations for a film like this. During the summer, the target audience is much more available.
[Edited 5/7/06 16:36pm]
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Reply #65 posted 05/07/06 4:37pm

fathermcmeekle

I'm confused by all these numbers. Does this add up to Tom being an ass or not?

confuse
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Reply #66 posted 05/07/06 4:38pm

Terilicious

avatar

fathermcmeekle said:

I'm confused by all these numbers. Does this add up to Tom being an ass or not?

confuse




falloff
I AM BEATLOAF
www.myspace.com/teriteriboberi
www.stickam.com/profile/Beatloaf
www.myspace.com/americasfunnyman
www.stephenking.com
www.tomgreen.com

I'm my own favorite orger and that trumps any elitist list you guys can come up with.
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Reply #67 posted 05/07/06 4:39pm

VoicesCarry

Byron said:

VoicesCarry said:



Oh, you're quibbling with the ranking. Doesn't matter. It's still massive by any standards. And it is the second-highest live action opener ever. Animated films on average get higher venue counts since family films have better legs and exhibitors are more comfortable with keeping them around week after week after week. Ice Age 2 should have, but didn't, and there you go.
[Edited 5/7/06 16:27pm]

Of course ranking matters...I mean, how damning does it sound to say "MI3 opened on the 17th largest number of screens ever, and it still under-performed!"??..lol.. smile It could have opened on the same amount of screens, but if opening on that many screens isn't an unusual occurance anymore, then that aspect loses some of its potency.

It sounds like you have immediate access to some of these stats, so I'm curious as to how many screens War of the Worlds opened on (not for the sake of debate, just my own selfish curiosity..lol smile )
[Edited 5/7/06 16:36pm]


3,908.

Remember I did not make the argument about the venue count ranking. wink The fact of the matter is few films get over 4,000 screens and this one simply should have grossed more with a venue count like that. Whether you're quibbling over 3,900 vs. 4,000 the argument is the same, as near-saturation has been reached.
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Reply #68 posted 05/07/06 4:40pm

Byron

VoicesCarry said:

Byron said:


So I take it that inflation isn't factored into the opening of BM1 when comparing it to the opening of BM2?..lol wink...And by the way, BM2's competition its opening weekend was Annapolis, Nanny McPhee and Rang De Basanti. Not exactly anything opening opposite of it to draw moviegoers away like it is during the "summer" movie season...


Inflation-adjusted figures come out very similar (just checked and BMH2 actually did $27.7 M). When you factor in its release date, it improved. Sure there's less competition in January, but there is also less interest in films released during that period. Becoming the third best opening ever in a month is performing above expectations for a film like this. During the summer, the target audience is much more available.
[Edited 5/7/06 16:36pm]

What were the inflation-adjusted figures?

And opening during the summer also dilutes your audience among a much larger selection of movies to choose from...why go see BH2 it's opening weekend when Spiderman 3, X-Men 3 and Whatever-Else-Is-The-Next-Big-Thing are available to you?...Many movies that aren't very good open after the big movie seasons for just that reason...because they'd get lost among all the "event" movies. BM2 wasn't even close to an event movie...and apparently it sucked huge..lol...the only way of making any money off of it was to open it during the slow periods when there's next to no competition, and get as high an opening weekend gross as possible...that's why it opened in january, and not june.
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Reply #69 posted 05/07/06 4:40pm

shausler

oh ho

keep it down now


VoicesCarry

wink
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Reply #70 posted 05/07/06 4:41pm

VoicesCarry

shausler said:

oh ho

keep it down now


VoicesCarry

wink


Shit is mad old. I had that done to me my first day here back in '03 and I was sigh rolleyes lol
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Reply #71 posted 05/07/06 4:42pm

Byron

fathermcmeekle said:

I'm confused by all these numbers. Does this add up to Tom being an ass or not?

confuse

lol
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Reply #72 posted 05/07/06 4:42pm

shausler

VoicesCarry said:

shausler said:

oh ho

keep it down now


VoicesCarry

wink


Shit is mad old. I had that done to me my first day here back in '03 and I was sigh rolleyes lol




everything old is


new a


gain
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Reply #73 posted 05/07/06 4:46pm

VoicesCarry

Byron said:

VoicesCarry said:



Inflation-adjusted figures come out very similar (just checked and BMH2 actually did $27.7 M). When you factor in its release date, it improved. Sure there's less competition in January, but there is also less interest in films released during that period. Becoming the third best opening ever in a month is performing above expectations for a film like this. During the summer, the target audience is much more available.
[Edited 5/7/06 16:36pm]

What were the inflation-adjusted figures?

And opening during the summer also dilutes your audience among a much larger selection of movies to choose from...why go see BH2 it's opening weekend when Spiderman 3, X-Men 3 and Whatever-Else-Is-The-Next-Big-Thing are available to you?...Many movies that aren't very good open after the big movie seasons for just that reason...because they'd get lost among all the "event" movies. BM2 wasn't even close to an event movie...and apparently it sucked huge..lol...the only way of making any money off of it was to open it during the slow periods when there's next to no competition, and get as high an opening weekend gross as possible...that's why it opened in january, and not june.


Studios can open shitty movies anytime. Perhaps there is less product in January, but there is also much less demand. Highest opener in January is $35.9M (a Star Wars rerelease) vs. $93.7 M in June. I think we can both agree that the potential to open high in June is much greater. But I won't argue about BMH2 anymore wink

Don't have access to inflation-adjusted yet since average ticket price for 2006 won't be in until the end of the year, but I imagine they are quite close.
[Edited 5/7/06 16:49pm]
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Reply #74 posted 05/07/06 4:49pm

Byron

VoicesCarry said:

Byron said:


Of course ranking matters...I mean, how damning does it sound to say "MI3 opened on the 17th largest number of screens ever, and it still under-performed!"??..lol.. smile It could have opened on the same amount of screens, but if opening on that many screens isn't an unusual occurance anymore, then that aspect loses some of its potency.

It sounds like you have immediate access to some of these stats, so I'm curious as to how many screens War of the Worlds opened on (not for the sake of debate, just my own selfish curiosity..lol smile )
[Edited 5/7/06 16:36pm]


3,908.

Remember I did not make the argument about the venue count ranking. wink The fact of the matter is few films get over 4,000 screens and this one simply should have grossed more with a venue count like that. Whether you're quibbling over 3,900 vs. 4,000 the argument is the same, as near-saturation has been reached.

lol...Oh, I know.. smile And yeah, I also agree with you that MI3's wasn't a flop, but was disappointing...but hell, it could end up grossing $400 million after worldwide sales and DVD sales are factored in...at that point, I hardly care if everyone expected it to gross $500 million..lol...at $400 million it would have doubled the cost of making the film (not sure of that cost includes promotion)...
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Reply #75 posted 05/07/06 4:51pm

Byron

VoicesCarry said:

Byron said:


What were the inflation-adjusted figures?

And opening during the summer also dilutes your audience among a much larger selection of movies to choose from...why go see BH2 it's opening weekend when Spiderman 3, X-Men 3 and Whatever-Else-Is-The-Next-Big-Thing are available to you?...Many movies that aren't very good open after the big movie seasons for just that reason...because they'd get lost among all the "event" movies. BM2 wasn't even close to an event movie...and apparently it sucked huge..lol...the only way of making any money off of it was to open it during the slow periods when there's next to no competition, and get as high an opening weekend gross as possible...that's why it opened in january, and not june.


Studios can open shitty movies anytime. Perhaps there is less product in January, but there is also much less demand. Highest opener in January is $35.9M (a Star Wars rerelease) vs. $93.7 M in June. I think we can both agree that the potential to open high in June is much greater. But I won't argue about BMH2 anymore wink

Don't have access to inflation-adjusted yet since average ticket price for 2006 won't be in until the end of the year, but I imagine they are quite close.
[Edited 5/7/06 16:49pm]

The potential to open higher in june is much greater for a film that's good and has great buzz surrounding it, yes...I would hazard a guess that BM2 wouldn't have opened with as high a take if it had been released in june instead...like you said, washed-up star in a movie with horrible reviews...too many other options out there to spend your money on, and it'll be released on DVD by late September anyway so why bother...lol smile
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Reply #76 posted 05/07/06 4:53pm

coolcat

omfg Tom Cruise is addicted to ass??!!
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Reply #77 posted 05/07/06 4:54pm

VoicesCarry

Byron said:

VoicesCarry said:



Studios can open shitty movies anytime. Perhaps there is less product in January, but there is also much less demand. Highest opener in January is $35.9M (a Star Wars rerelease) vs. $93.7 M in June. I think we can both agree that the potential to open high in June is much greater. But I won't argue about BMH2 anymore wink

Don't have access to inflation-adjusted yet since average ticket price for 2006 won't be in until the end of the year, but I imagine they are quite close.
[Edited 5/7/06 16:49pm]

The potential to open higher in june is much greater for a film that's good and has great buzz surrounding it, yes...I would hazard a guess that BM2 wouldn't have opened with as high a take if it had been released in june instead...like you said, washed-up star in a movie with horrible reviews...too many other options out there to spend your money on, and it'll be released on DVD by late September anyway so why bother...lol smile


It probably would have opened higher. Have you seen some of the shit that's opened in June lol I mean, Scooby-Doo managed $54 M - WTF?! 2 Fast 2 Furious doing $50 M, Batman & Robin doing $43 M, the list is endless. falloff
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Reply #78 posted 05/07/06 4:54pm

u2prnce

coolcat said:

omfg Tom Cruise is addicted to ass??!!


nod alien ass.
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Reply #79 posted 05/07/06 4:55pm

VoicesCarry

Byron said:

VoicesCarry said:



3,908.

Remember I did not make the argument about the venue count ranking. wink The fact of the matter is few films get over 4,000 screens and this one simply should have grossed more with a venue count like that. Whether you're quibbling over 3,900 vs. 4,000 the argument is the same, as near-saturation has been reached.

lol...Oh, I know.. smile And yeah, I also agree with you that MI3's wasn't a flop, but was disappointing...but hell, it could end up grossing $400 million after worldwide sales and DVD sales are factored in...at that point, I hardly care if everyone expected it to gross $500 million..lol...at $400 million it would have doubled the cost of making the film (not sure of that cost includes promotion)...


Ok, but you have to remember that theaters get on average half of the gross. AND the budget does not include marketing or print cost. SO, this will probably need ancillary markets (DVD, etc.) to break even. Paramount can't be really happy with this since the percentage of the take that theaters get increases after the first week. This is why there is such a push to open big.
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Reply #80 posted 05/07/06 4:58pm

Byron

VoicesCarry said:

Byron said:


The potential to open higher in june is much greater for a film that's good and has great buzz surrounding it, yes...I would hazard a guess that BM2 wouldn't have opened with as high a take if it had been released in june instead...like you said, washed-up star in a movie with horrible reviews...too many other options out there to spend your money on, and it'll be released on DVD by late September anyway so why bother...lol smile


It probably would have opened higher. Have you seen some of the shit that's opened in June lol I mean, Scooby-Doo managed $54 M - WTF?! 2 Fast 2 Furious doing $50 M, Batman & Robin doing $43 M, the list is endless. falloff

lol...Well, in Scooby's case, I"m guessing that Sarah Michelle Gellar was more of a draw for one type of audience than Martin Lawrence would have been for another type of audience lol (plus it was a family movie with sentimental ties for the kiddie's parents..and dad could oogle Thelma in that tight sweater..heh)...2 Fast 2 Furious I can't EVEN explain..lol...and Batman & Robin had a hold on the built-in comic lovers market...those movies open big pretty much regoardless (unlike video game movies, which seem to tank almost immediately)...
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Reply #81 posted 05/07/06 5:00pm

VoicesCarry

Byron said:

VoicesCarry said:



It probably would have opened higher. Have you seen some of the shit that's opened in June lol I mean, Scooby-Doo managed $54 M - WTF?! 2 Fast 2 Furious doing $50 M, Batman & Robin doing $43 M, the list is endless. falloff

lol...Well, in Scooby's case, I"m guessing that Sarah Michelle Gellar was more of a draw for one type of audience than Martin Lawrence would have been for another type of audience lol (plus it was a family movie with sentimental ties for the kiddie's parents..and dad could oogle Thelma in that tight sweater..heh)...2 Fast 2 Furious I can't EVEN explain..lol...and Batman & Robin had a hold on the built-in comic lovers market...those movies open big pretty much regoardless (unlike video game movies, which seem to tank almost immediately)...


Well I think it would certainly have made more last June, during The Summer of Shit. lol

I remember the one-two knockout punch of The Island and Stealth!
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Reply #82 posted 05/07/06 5:02pm

Byron

VoicesCarry said:

Byron said:


lol...Well, in Scooby's case, I"m guessing that Sarah Michelle Gellar was more of a draw for one type of audience than Martin Lawrence would have been for another type of audience lol (plus it was a family movie with sentimental ties for the kiddie's parents..and dad could oogle Thelma in that tight sweater..heh)...2 Fast 2 Furious I can't EVEN explain..lol...and Batman & Robin had a hold on the built-in comic lovers market...those movies open big pretty much regoardless (unlike video game movies, which seem to tank almost immediately)...


Well I think it would certainly have made more last June, during The Summer of Shit. lol

I remember the one-two knockout punch of The Island and Stealth!

lol...Didn't they both go straight down the revenue toilet, tho??...
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Reply #83 posted 05/07/06 5:05pm

VoicesCarry

Byron said:

VoicesCarry said:



Well I think it would certainly have made more last June, during The Summer of Shit. lol

I remember the one-two knockout punch of The Island and Stealth!

lol...Didn't they both go straight down the revenue toilet, tho??...


Exactly! evillol

Collective budgets: $252.2 M
Collective openings: $25.66 M

falloff
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Reply #84 posted 05/07/06 5:08pm

coolcat

u2prnce said:

coolcat said:

omfg Tom Cruise is addicted to ass??!!


nod alien ass.


Is that because he's into Scientology? hmmm
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Reply #85 posted 05/07/06 5:08pm

Byron

VoicesCarry said:

Byron said:


lol...Didn't they both go straight down the revenue toilet, tho??...


Exactly! evillol

Collective budgets: $252.2 M
Collective openings: $25.66 M

falloff

Holy stinkin' mothballs... disbelief lol

Why is it that EVERY actor who suddenly hits it huge with a top film and even an Academy award nom (or win) ALWAYS has a follow-up movie which abso-stinkin-lutely blows... lol
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Reply #86 posted 05/07/06 5:19pm

shausler

VoicesCarry said:[quote]
falloff




that emoticon be way old

lol
[Edited 5/7/06 17:20pm]
[Edited 5/7/06 17:20pm]
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Reply #87 posted 05/07/06 5:21pm

VoicesCarry

shausler said:[quote]VoicesCarry said:[quote]Byron said:[quote] falloff[/




that emoticon be way old

lol


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Reply #88 posted 05/07/06 7:09pm

luv4u

Moderator

avatar

moderator

SammiJ said:

katie got herself in2 one helluva mess
poor thing's life and career are OVER

tom should be kicked in the pants numerous times while having each tooth ripped out one by one and his nipples twisted off with heated tongs.



lol
canada

Ohh purple joy oh purple bliss oh purple rapture!
REAL MUSIC by REAL MUSICIANS - Prince
"I kind of wish there was a reason for Prince to make the site crash more" ~~ Ben
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Reply #89 posted 05/07/06 8:16pm

luv4u

Moderator

avatar

moderator

Terilicious said:

fathermcmeekle said:

I'm confused by all these numbers. Does this add up to Tom being an ass or not?

confuse




falloff



falloff
canada

Ohh purple joy oh purple bliss oh purple rapture!
REAL MUSIC by REAL MUSICIANS - Prince
"I kind of wish there was a reason for Prince to make the site crash more" ~~ Ben
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