the proof of the pudding is in the eating, of course, but if the benefits of the technology are what proponents say they might be, we would be looking at 90-95% reductions in vehicle fatalities. right now, there are about 35k traffic fatalities in the us each year, so it's not an exaggeration to say that there could be tens of thousands of lives saved every year. . and that doesn't get into injuries, paralysis, everything else. . so it seems likely to me that, if this does come to pass, we'll be in a scenario where people who continue to use their inferior ape brains to drive will pay far steeper insurance premiums. . there are risks in adopting any new tech, but it's also often the case that the biggest risk is not adopting it because of being change averse. | |
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Nay! | |
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Folks are scared of this cloud stuff. | |
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damosuzuki said:
the proof of the pudding is in the eating, of course, but if the benefits of the technology are what proponents say they might be, we would be looking at 90-95% reductions in vehicle fatalities. right now, there are about 35k traffic fatalities in the us each year, so it's not an exaggeration to say that there could be tens of thousands of lives saved every year. . and that doesn't get into injuries, paralysis, everything else. . so it seems likely to me that, if this does come to pass, we'll be in a scenario where people who continue to use their inferior ape brains to drive will pay far steeper insurance premiums. . there are risks in adopting any new tech, but it's also often the case that the biggest risk is not adopting it because of being change averse. I agree. What can you say, some people are PROgressive, others are REgressive. If the milk turns out to be sour, I aint the kinda pussy to drink it! | |
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Yay...eventually. I do believe we're headed in that direction, but most of the hoopla is just a bunch of hype right now. We're only in the alpha testing stage right now with regard to driverless vehicles, and I would venture that we're still a few years away from early adopters even getting their hands on such vehicles, let alone the general public. Also, there will have to be some framework setup by the Department of Transportation as well as states and local municipalities regarding traffic usage, its impact and other vehicles with drivers, possible special driving lanes, etc. The technology may come quickly, but the logistics will take a lot of time to come to fruition. As for the main players behind driverless vehicles, each of them have their own agenda. Tesla wants a huge market for their electric cars, Google wants to control transportation in their cloud, and Uber wants to monopolize taxi services and eventually the trucking industry. So despite the utopian platitudes everyone is taking about now, look at where money and resources are flowing. | |
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I was real impressed with Seattle lite rail system/Bus and ferry system works. Here in Hawaii it's so corrupted with our one party system. Our rail system being built is a joke, cost out of porportion, people making money off of it at the cost of the tax payers. Had a ferry system but the powers that be (Hawaiian Air lines) ruined it. | |
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just this morning another driver was swerving in and out of traffic, she nearly clipped me not once, but twice, by pulling into my lane out AS i was in the lane next to her (happened once, then she fell behind and did the same damn thing again) both times i hd to blow my horn to avoid a collision whereupon she swerved back into her own lane. on this occasion, i was totally pumped when a cop car pulled out and nailed her as she sped by us all doing about 15 mph over the limit. i think she was drunk or high.... | |
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TrivialPursuit said: No, unless they're on a track, and then they're just a train. More trains and lightrail would be a better investment. I agree about more light rail, but that's up to your municipality and infrastructure. Whereas this will be implemented by the consumer alone. Speaking of infrastructure, i also wish they would do a better job with sidewalks and bicycle travel. Here is SoCal it's mostly a scary proposition to go for a walk or ride a bike. I'd love to do more walking and cycling, but it doesn't look safe or appealing with current infrastructure. | |
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When Driverless cars become the Standard Black folks will get accused of riding Driverless while Black...If we can't get the car to stop for a Cop they will send a tiny-Robot to Blow us up to Bits... | |
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"Music gives a soul to the universe, wings to the mind, flight to the imagination and life to everything." --Plato
https://youtu.be/CVwv9LZMah0 | |
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So much style , looks very sporty. Darth Vader on the roof optional extra [Edited 3/29/17 10:58am] | |
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Guitarhero said: So much style , looks very sporty. Darth Vader on the roof optional extra [Edited 3/29/17 10:58am] Ever hear of Tesla? | |
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Lust, another issue. All you others say Hell Yea!! | |
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Not till i just looked. now your talking. | |
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Guitarhero said:
Not till i just looked. now your talking. And performance-wise it will wipe the floor with most everything else on the road. My next car is going to be electric and most likely a Tesla model 3, and with built-in autonomous driving built in. | |
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Yes, it will. Yes, it will. Check out the video of it smoking a Hellcat which burned out its rear end trying. Or the run against a plane on a runway. 0 to 60 in 2.5 seconds. And it will be mine all mine in the next five years barring any catastrophes. But then, hell, I was impressed with how peppy a boring little Nissan Leaf was when I drove it. Electric and gas vehicles are really apples and oranges regarding performance and not just technology. One day people will be posting lol memes about how back in the day they drank out of the hose and drove ancient gas vehicles and thought they were so powerful. Murica: at least it's not Sudan. | |
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2freaky4church1 said: Lust, another issue. I literally have no idea what you're talking about. If the milk turns out to be sour, I aint the kinda pussy to drink it! | |
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That is probably one of the big issues that would keep a more modernized transit system from happening in the states. The ability to get to most anyplace needed without the use of a car is unbelievably refreshing. And we traveled to some rather remote (to me) places. Walk to a bus, bus to subway, subway to train, train to bullet train....it reminds me of the saying, "It's not the destination, it's the journey".
Driverless cars.....yeah I know that's where $$$ are going now. Aren't we lazy enough already? JMO
Style is the second cousin to class | |
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maybe we'll reach a point here once a person has too many strikes against them they have to use a driverless car. i | |
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XxAxX said: maybe we'll reach a point here once a person has too many strikes against them they have to use a driverless car. i Lots of people with no business driving still being able to function and participate in society such as those with disabilities also. Murica: at least it's not Sudan. | |
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i am KING BAD!!!
you are NOT... STOP ME IF YOU HEARD THIS BEFORE... | |
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Acceptable percentage of risk? | |
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this is all pretty speculative needless to say - perhaps driverless cars are the new individual jet pack, a promised tech that never comes to be (i doubt that, but i guess it's possible)... . but if driverless cars come to be as safe as some people say they will be, i think it's really interesting to consider how we'll perceive people who insist on driving manually at that time. . if even the safest human driver is several times more dangerous than a driverless car, will we come to a point where we think of people who insist on driving as reckless as someone who smokes cigarettes or a drunk driver? . if you insist on driving, knowing that you're far more likely to kill or injure yourself or someone else than if you'd let the car do the job, you'd be doing something wrong, no? . i imagine that this is something that will for the most part be recognized in the market: anyone who insists on driving in that scenario will have to accept a much higher insurance premium to allow for the risk.
[Edited 3/30/17 19:29pm] | |
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We'll cross that bridge when we get there, but my guess is that these systems will always allow us to take over from autanamous mode whenever we want. It just may not let you crash into someone or something. | |
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In the context of considering the number accidents per million miles with dumbass people at the wheel, I'm feeling pretty good about the developing technology. Also, most technology is potentially hackable. It doesn't keep us from advancing forward. It's a constant race between the mice and the makers of mousetraps. People continue to fly and use mass transit which all operate on potentially hackable systems. Murica: at least it's not Sudan. | |
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Nay Ohh purple joy oh purple bliss oh purple rapture! REAL MUSIC by REAL MUSICIANS - Prince "I kind of wish there was a reason for Prince to make the site crash more" ~~ Ben |
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i think we're in agreement, mostly
. perfection is not for this world. . not to drone on about it, but i think this might in some way be an interesting example of how people overestimate the impact of low probability events (like hackers & attacks & violence) and underestimate the impact of high probability events (like the improvements in productivity & life quality & information & safety we get from tech improvement). that seems to be a basic human wiring problem...michael shermer's books the believing brain & how we believe are full of insights on that area. i ought to revisit them soon myself. .
as a slightly relevant aside - i also remember reading a neat little study, i believe this was in daniel kahneman's book, that found people going on vacation would be willing to pay more for insurance for death from a terrorist attack than they would pay for general insurance that would cover all death. these are the kinds of things that highlight the flaws in the way we evaluate risk, & we need to recognize that weakness. yay for statistics, right?
. and i don't say that to completely dismiss the concerns people might have. only to say that it's a mistake to only focus on the risk. there are other risks that haven't come up that i've seen - economic disruption, for example. what happens if 90% of the positions in distribution & transportation go away? it could be both an opportunity & a disruption. whatever the case, i don't think trying to hold back technological progress under the banner of protecting one industry or group of workers is a broadly winning strategy. but it is something that has to be part of the discussion. . i've said this already, & apologize for repeating myself, but while we're talking about the risks, we shouldn't lose sight of the benefits, & the benefits could be real & enormous. if it becomes the case that auto-driven cars will decrease deaths & brain injuries & paralysis from car accidents by 90% let's say, then you have to take a look at what risks come with that gain. a terrorist or a troubled loner could do some really bad things, & make tons of headlines & make people frightened. but should you give up 30k fewer corpses, & i don't know how many fewer broken bones & head injuries & paralyzed people every year over that possibility? in that case, not adopting the tech & then losing all those benefits would likely be the biggest risk of all. | |
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No never....at the moment! | |
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